By Jared Stanger
I had planned to make these tiered draft pieces by position group for most positions, but I’ve been slacking through the holidays. Today I’m back on my bullshit and looking at running backs. Seahawks are currently looking at a free agency period where Kenneth Walker is at the end of his contract and unrestricted, and George Holani will be an exclusive rights free agent. It remains to be seen if they will pay him. The team HAS made in-season contract extensions this year with Charles Cross, Eric Saubert, Abe Lucas. If both team and player were eager for a reunion; we would have likely seen the extension.
I’m not convinced the Seahawks want him back. Certainly not on a veteran deal with Walker being paid above his current rookie scale. I suspect Mike Macdonald is looking for a different type of runner.
With Seahawks limited 2026 draft capital; it will be tough to project them using one of their four current picks on a RB. But, as you’ll soon see, I think this might be a draft cycle that you can prioritize RB in rookie free agency. John Schneider and his staff seemed to go pretty aggressive in the 2025 UDFA phase where they acquired guys like Jared Ivey, Amari Kight, Connor O’toole, Nick Kallerup.
This leads us to a refresher on the structure of these pieces on the tiers of the 2026 Draft. Basically, I’m looking for the best player from three tiers of investment: high, mid, low cost. For the Edge Rushers, I called high cost the 1st to 2nd round. Running back typically carries lower positional value, and this year there aren’t likely more than one name that will be picked in the 1st round. So I’m calling high cost for RB; 2nd to 3rd round. Mid = 4th to 7th. And I’m calling low for RB the entirety of rookie free agency.
High round:
Not only do I not really see a running back I would imagine Seattle would draft in the first round; I kinda don’t see anyone they would take in the first three rounds. I like Jonah Coleman very much, but in my analytics study of the RB class; Coleman didn’t really ping.
Emmett Johnson from Nebraska is ranked #84 on the big board, and hit on a few of my metrics, but failed on others. The guy is crazy elusive, but didn’t score highly on running after contact and a couple others.
The highest ranked RB that did ping was Penn State’s Kaytron “Fatman” Allen from Penn State. Listed 5’11″/219lbs, Allen has 1300 rushing yards this year with 15 TD’s. Consensus big board has Allen as the #124 player in the class, which actually lands mid-4th round. Until we get testing data at the Combine; I suspect Allen might test on the slower side.
Mid round:
I’m honestly fudging things a bit to get this mid-tier in here. For whatever reason; the media has a dogshit perception of this RB class. Miami RB Mark Fletcher, the guy who has basically been carrying the Miami offense in the college playoffs, is not ranked draftable. He is a Junior that, due to Miami’s playoff run, has not announced his draft intention. But even if you look at his 2027 draft value it comes in as UDFA.
Fletcher is listed at 6’2″/225lbs and rushed for 1080 yards and 10 TD this year after missing two games near the middle of the season. Up until recently, I was more or less assuming Macdonald likes a RB that resembles something he worked alongside and had to defend in Baltimore where guys like Kenyan Drake and Gus Edwards were bigger backs getting the bulk of the carries.
But recently Seattle has been adding guys like Velus Jones (6’0″/204lbs), Myles Gaskin (5’10″/200lbs), Kenny Mcintosh (6’0″/204lbs) to various parts of the roster, as well as having some rumored interest in Devon Achane (5’9″/191lbs) at the recent trade deadline. It’s a position group without total clarity of where Macdonald’s true vision lies because he has never, really, had to acquire an RB1 or RB2 since he’s been here. The only RB we’ve seen John and Mike draft since Mike arrived was 2025 when they picked Damien Martinez in the 7th round. Martinez was 6’0″/217lbs, but he was shortlived for the roster; and his “replacements” were primarily the smaller backs I just mentioned.
I am moving forward with my projections based on my own speculation of what I THINK would work best in this offense. I think Fletcher ticks a lot of the boxes.
Low round (UDFA):
This is where things really popped for my research, which means you probably don’t NEED to draft a RB. I got multiple guys that came up really interesting and the media has no clue.
Kaelon Black & Roman Hemby – The two guys sharing carries in the same Indiana backfield both scored very similarly in my study. Black is listed 5’10″/211lbs and rushed for 898 yards and 8 TD, while Hemby is listed 6’0″/210lbs and rushed for 1007 yards and 7 TD. Hemby has a little better standing nationally for draft projection as a guy that is barely outside the range of top 256 players on the board.
Hemby is possibly a tougher runner, while Black is a bit more explosive. Black is a better pass-blocker, while Hemby is a better pass-catcher. Two really intriguing players with great intangibles.
Kejon Owens – Owens is a 5’11″/210lb back coming out of Florida International who ran for 1300 yards and 11 TD’s, with bigtime explosive plays on tape. He reminds me a bit of Ken Walker.
Dontae Mcmillan – Listed 5’10″/203lbs, Mcmillan played at Eastern Michigan but he’s actually from Seattle. He has very good explosive numbers, but on tape I fear he might test a little slow in the forty. He ran for 1000 yards this year, but only 4 TD. I don’t know that Mcmillan would be my #1 RB I’d sign in UDFA, but as a Seattle guy; I think if you offer him a deal; he’ll take it.
Robert Henry – Listed 5’9″/205lbs, Henry ran for 1045 yards on only 151 carries, and added 9 TD. In spite of not being the biggest back, Henry posted some of the best scores on running after contact.
I think the Seahawks should punt on RB in the actual draft, and then offer guaranteed money to two RB in the rookie free agency period. If they can swing it; one of the Indiana guys and Kejon Owens would be very interesting.