By Jared Stanger
Tomorrow marks, roughly, week six of the college season, so we’ve got a pretty good idea of the players that have fallen out of favor from preseason mocks, and those that are rising to replace them. Unfortunately, it appears more and more like this isn’t a good year for the draft. Certainly, not in the first round. If the Seahawks were to trade their 2026 first rounder for some kind of veteran blue chip player that will help us right now; it would be a very calculated and shrewd move. I’m not going to project that move. Anyways, outside of Maxx Crosby, I’m not sure there are many of this caliber player that are also on bad teams right now, that Seattle could acquire.
I tend to think John Schneider will make some kind of move(s) prior to this trade deadline. Those moves would inevitably include some kind of draft compensation switching hands. I have a couple ideas on those types of moves I would like to see, but I am not including them in this mock. We can revisit the post-trade-deadline draft capital in November.
For now…Seattle only owns six 2026 draftpicks. Those picks fall roughly at: #1.23, #2.54, #3.85, #4.120, #5.160, #6.183.
In terms of Crosby and the Edge rusher position…I would LOVE to acquire that type of player. I have such roster envy when I see the teams with elite edge rushers. But…I have documented Mike Macdonald’s own words describing that his defensive scheme is designed to be a team passrush by design. He doesn’t NEED that elite edge rusher. Would he take one if one were to fall in the Seahawks lap in the draft?? Probably.
That brings me to my next point: when I studied this overall draft class in terms of depth of talent; I found that the two strongest positions were quarterback and edge rusher. Does this mean 1st round grade? Not necessarily. But I feel confident that if you take a dart-throw at one (or both) of those positions as a late 1st round positioned team, all the way back to the third, maybe fourth, round; you have a puncher’s chance of hitting on something great.
For me, with Sam Darnold playing as well as he has, at the contract value he is playing under, with two more QB on the roster for cheap through (at least) 2026, and with the way this college QB class is still painfully moving through transition of who the media THOUGHT would be the relevant QB’s in preseason to the eventuality of the guys that will ACTUALLY be the 1st round names and later the NFL franchise guys; I just can’t imagine Seattle’s first round pick is a QB.
I could see this more like the scenario we saw unfold in the 2025 draft where Seattle took their top guys at positions the NFL undervalues, or they could force drafting players from the shallower position groups this class that line up with Seattle “needs”. I think it’s too early to present a mock of the latter in terms of the 1st round. My mock drafts are always based around the current market price of players, and as such, in October, I can still find those need positions at later rounds.
My pick for the first round will be following the strategy of drafting from the strength of the particular draft class.
#1.23 – Defensive End, Oregon, Matayo Uiagalelei
Matayo Uiagalelei is a 6’5″/272lb junior OLB/DE. He is the brother of Charger backup quarterback DJ Uiagalelei, and cousin to UW edge Taitai Uiagalelei. He is the leading passrusher for the #6 defense in the country and his 2025 statline goes: 11 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, 2 hurries, 3 PBU.
The Seahawk roster currently has Demarcus Lawrence on a three-year deal that could be a one-year deal with only $4.6mill dead-cap in 2026. Uchenna Nwosu has one more year left with an $8.5mill dead-cap hit. Boye Mafe is on the last year of his rookie deal, and Derick Hall has one more year remaining on his. We do need some reinforcements at the Edge position.
Matayo vs the run:
Matayo passrush:
#2.54 – Cornerback, SDSU, Chris Johnson
In my opinion, Seattle needs get more out of their corner and inside linebacker rooms. They may address one, or both, of these positions via trade in the next few weeks. In the meantime, I am addressing both in the draft.
Chris Johnson is a 6’0″/195lb senior corner for the Aztecs with 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 2 INT, 6 PBU, and a FF on the year. As with most of my October mock drafts every year; many of my early picks will be higher on media boards by April. But for now we can get CJ here.
I have yet to find many suitable CB for this draft class, which puts a higher priority on drafting one than many other positions. I could, conceivably, see Schneider draft one in the 1st round with two of his current starting CB set to be free agents.
#3.85 – Linebacker, Cincinnati, Jake Golday
After two years of Mike Macdonald, it has become clear how important the inside linebacker position is to him. And he has no patience for guys that can’t grasp his scheme. The only mild surprise is that he hasn’t used more resources to secure quality players at the positions.
Jake Golday is a throwback to a prior era of linebacker as a 6’4″/240lb athlete at the position. He has 49 tackles, 3.0 sacks, 1 PBU, and a FF on the year. He will rise throughout this process.
#4.120 – Quarterback, Missouri, Beau Pribula
After five weeks of NFL football…I think the conversation on Sam Darnold is turning from “his contract makes it easy to get out of his deal after a year” to “this is a great, cost effective contract to have on our starting QB for the next three years.” I don’t mind that because I, personally, am not a fan of our backup situation. I’ve never liked Drew Lock, and I still have considerable reservations on Jalen Milroe. I don’t mind drafting another QB in a middle round in 2026, giving him two years to backup Darnold and learn the system (and the league), and then trade away one of Lock/Milroe for draft capital. As long as we’re using mid-round picks to do it; I think it’s a worthwhile endeavor.
At the same time…this quarterback draft class is completely off the rails. The preseason guys have completely fallen off. Off fell Nico Iamaleava, and Sam Leavitt, and Cade Klubnik. Still falling off are Drew Allar and Garrett Nussmeier. I still have my doubts about Carson Beck, but at the moment I can’t say his play has fallen off. And then I think Arch Manning and Lanorris Sellers are prime candidates to stay in school another year.
Rising in their places: Fernando Mendoza, Julian Sayin, Jayden Maiava, Luke Altmyer, Dante Moore, Ty Simpson, Darian Mensah, Sawyer Robertson, and Beau Pribula. I’ve sort of tentatively circled the trio of Altmyer, Robertson, and Pribula as the three I’m focusing on. All three have had reasons to be excited so far.
Robertson leads the country in passing yards and passing TD’s.
Altmyer is second in the country in YPA, 7th in comp %, 5th in passer rating, and he’s one of three QB in the country with at least 10 TD and 0 INT that have thrown over 140 pass attempts (but the only one from a power 5 school).
Pribula’s highest ranking is completion % where he ranks third in the country, but he has Mizzou undefeated and the #14 team in the country.
I’ve recently had to cut back on my ranking of Robertson because of comments he has made in press conferences that, I think, point to him not having the personality I seek in a leader that wants to win like a sociopath. Like, I think he’s a mentally healthy human being, but mentally healthy human beings don’t generally win Super Bowls.
I have my reasons for choosing Pribula over Altmyer…most of which I’m not going to get into in this mock. Suffice to say; he is my current pick until his draft stock rises and I have to make some tougher choices. At the moment, I’m thrilled to get him in the third round.
#5.160 – Tight End, Missouri, Brett Norfleet
This is NOT a good class of tight ends. Certainly not compared to the 2025 class. It would be incredibly smart for a few junior TE to declare early. That’s what Norfleet is. He’s a physical specimen at 6’6″/260lbs, and I’ve enjoyed seeing his physicality in his run-blocking and pass-catching when I’ve been watching Pribula’s tape. His numbers aren’t overwhelming at 20 catches, 174 yards, 8.70 ypc, but 4 TD’s is good enough for tied for 24th in the country in receiving TD for all targets, and tied for first amongst all TE.
#6.183 – Guard, Duke, Justin Pickett
There was a draft of this mock where I had Seattle taking ANOTHER first round Guard. That might be pushing John Schneider too hard on something he isn’t totally comfortable doing, after he finally broke from tendency and drafted Grey Zabel in the first last year. I’m not sure if a Center would also be pushing it, too (I do love Jake Slaughter, but he might only cost a second, anyways).
But also, I started looking at Justin Pickett. He is a 6’7″/320lb senior OL on the same side as the buzzy draft name, Brian Parker, only Pickett gets like 1% of the same publicity.
One of my favorite things to do in mock drafting is to draft backwards. Who are the guys you absolutely love, that you would bang the table for, that are currently available in the 5th-6th rounds? Okay, write those guys in pen in those late rounds FIRST, and then circle back to the top of the draft where you can take other positions with even less pressure to take a need.
I have a pro player-comp for Pickett in mind, which I can’t put on record right now. I will say the comp is a pro bowl player that was drafted on day three of his particular draft.
Pickett is #77 in these couple snaps, playing at right guard. That first snap looks like a textbook mirror drill from the NFL Combine.
I’m aware that this mock draft is lacking. It’s lacking in volume, for one. It’s lacking in player for pick trades, and it’s lacking in any kind of trade back within the draft to add picks. And, I think, it’s lacking in a WR.
Some drafts you go into them trying to find stars, some drafts you go into them trying to fill free agent holes on your roster, and some drafts you go into them looking to make pointed improvements to your returning roster. For me, this year is kind of the latter. Can we improve RG over Anthony Bradford? Can we improve TE over Brady Russell? Can we improve QB over Drew Lock? Can we improve LB over Tyrice Knight? Can we improve CB over Riq Woolen? Can we improve DE over Uchenna Nwosu?
The 2026 Seahawk roster is in a good place. Our impending unrestricted free agent list goes: Josh Jones (backup OT), Boye Mafe (0 sacks), Johnathan Hankins (still on NFI), Ken Walker, Josh Jobe, Eric Saubert (TE3-4), Chazz Surratt (LB4-5), Coby Bryant, Riq Woolen, Dareke Young (WR5). That’s maybe five starters, but one of which we may already be actively shopping in trade and likely won’t be re-signed. If you did nothing else in terms of free agency; the mock draft I’ve laid out above gets you replacements for Mafe, Saubert, Surratt, Woolen without spending a dime above rookie contracts. And then some of the 2025 starters become 2026 backups. You’ve lengthened your lineup. Which might be the best case scenario for this draft cycle.