By Jared Stanger
The annual college all-star Senior Bowl game will be played six days from today, and practices for the game begin on Tuesday, so what better time to get in a last minute mock draft to sort of plant my flag for some of the guys high on my list that may soon be moving up higher on the consensus list.
In terms of the Seahawks, it’s really feeling like they need to have a big draft. I’m talking big in terms of volume of picks. I keep looking at it, and I think this might be best served as a 12-13 pick draft. I don’t think we’ve ever seen John Schneider draft more than 11 in a given draft, so they probably won’t go to 12, but they also probably won’t make the player trades I’d like to see them make to acquire draft capital AND to accelerate their dead money problem now so that they can have a cleaner slate for 2026. Unfortunately, Schneider never takes the full measure. It’s always half-measures, that keep us perpetually in the upper-middle class of the NFL.
Seattle has one of the league’s worst cap situations heading into the new league year. Moves will need to be made. It’s just gonna be a question of which players take the brunt of the cut(s). The biggest cap hits that will make for potential trade/cut include: Geno Smith, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Dre’mont Jones, Uchenna Nwosu.
The recent league-wide coaching search has potentially opened up some interesting possibilities for the Seahawks. Former head coach Pete Carroll’s hiring in Las Vegas, and former offensive coordinator, Brian Schottenheimer’s hiring in Dallas could create a better trade market for Seahawk players that overlapped with their respective time in Seattle. The Raiders, in particular, could be a team to watch due to their #2 most cap space in the league. They have some big holes at QB and WR to fill, and they can afford to pay whoever they choose to fill them.
If just looking at teams with need at WR; I think both the Patriots and Chargers are top 5 in cap space and could use someone like DK. I tend to think there won’t be much of a trade market for Geno. He saw free agency a couple years ago, didn’t get much interest, and returned to Seattle on a pretty team-favorable deal. The Pats have 9 draft picks to trade with, the Raiders have 10 picks, and the Chargers have 11. All three teams tick a number of boxes that would point towards a good trade match.
I’m currently most interested in a Patriots deal. I like it for the possibility of swapping DK for a mid-round pick AND getting New England QB Joe Milton as part of the return. The Pats hold two picks at the top half of the third round at #3.69 and #3.77. If we were just to trade DK with no Milton add-on; I would want a 2nd-round plus draftpick. Let’s do the deal for 3.69 and Milton.
The next factor to consider is how the first round of this draft class is stacking up. How many true 1st round players are in there? How many players with similar grade will plausibly be available from, say #18 to #50 overall? I like trading back. And it’s gonna be many trades to get from 8 picks up to 12. I’m not giving analysis on who and why the trade partners are…this is just trying to line up positioning for better points in the draft.
The first move I’ve got #1.18 traded to Detroit for #1.28 + #2.60.
Immediately I flip #60 to Jacksonville for #3.70 + #4.105.
We keep moving it down with #70 to Carolina for #3.74 + #4.112.
And finally #74 goes to Pittsburgh for #3.83 + #4.121.
So the final board becomes:
#1.28, #2.50, #3.69, #3.82, #3.83, #4.105, #4.112, #4.121, #4.136, #5.172, #6.186, #6.211, #7.235
Before we get to the actual picks. I already know some of these are gonna get blown up by rising tides. This is just for now.
#1.28 – OL, Ohio State, Donovan Jackson
There are a number of spots throughout this mock where I’ve got symbolic duos. At this one, we’ve got two guys that should be day one starters at left guard. If we get either Jackson or Tyler Booker, I think we’re off to a fantastic start to the draft. Honestly, this pick could open up if we included some of the tackles that might slide inside to guard like Wyatt Milum. It’s, overall, a very strong OL draft, and that’s one of the reasons I like the trade back to start adding volume.
Jackson gets might slight nod over Booker due to the way he adjusted to playing left tackle for the Buckeyes after the season-ending injury to Josh Simmons. And, really, with Schneider’s recent comments about guards over-paid and over-drafted; maybe a guy that most-recently played well at tackle, can be the exception (see: Germain Ifedi).
This pick needs to be a leader. I feel confident that Jackson, Booker, Milum, Armand Membou, Josh Conerly all have very strong leadership traits. The Seahawk OL, as currently contructed, doesn’t have a leader. Certainly not one that is playing well enough to remain in the starting lineup, and lead from the field.
#2.50 – DS, South Carolina, Nick Emmanwori
I don’t have a great, articulate justification for this pick. Do the Seahawks have room for a high-priced safety pick?? Do they need a starting safety? It doesn’t really feel like it. But that also makes this feel like good drafting. This will be the best player available if he falls this far. He won’t.
I like everything that Emmanwori brings to the table. He’s a 6’3″/227lb safety that should light up the Combine. He’s as big as many modern linebackers. He posted 6.77 tackles per game, which is a lot for a safety. And he had 4 INT and 2 PBU, to demonstrate his coverage ability. This could, potentially, be Mike Macdonald’s new Kyle Hamilton type that he can just create around.
#3.69 – DE, South Carolina, Kyle Kennard
Defensive end is one of the strongest positions in this draft, so it will be a bit of a game of draft chicken to push drafting one this far. It’s probably the smarter move to take one with the #50, but I think Emmanwori is the rarer player.
There’s an underlying theme to this entire draft class. Kennard matches up very well with this theme. He’s 6’5″/255lbs and had an impressive 15.5 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and 10 hurries. One of his most-notable performances was the game he played vs likely 1st round pick OT Will Campbell.
#3.82 – DT, Nebraska, Ty Robinson
The Seahawks have some issues to resolve along the DL. As we mentioned earlier, there are some potential cap casualties that could be lost. But there are also the free agents: Jarran Reed and Johnathan Hankins. We need some fresh bodies. And they can kinda be all different body types. Dre’mont is 6’3″/281lbs and plays mostly outside. Jarran is 6’3″/306lbs and plays some undersized nose tackle. Hankins is 6’3″/325lbs but was never really the run-stuffer his size would suggest.
I kinda like targeting some DL that have versatility. Robinson has it in droves. He’s 6’6″/310lbs and he’s played all over the DL for the Huskers, not to mention some fullback. Last year, he had 12.5 TFL, 7.0 sacks, 7 hurries, 4 PBU, 1 FF, and a blocked kick. I think he can absorb snaps from both Dre’mont and Jarran.
#3.83 – TE, Oregon, Terrance Ferguson
Tight end is a few things in this draft: it’s a good position group, it’s a player that could figuratively give you some replacement production for the traded DK Metcalf, and it’s another of my player duos. Michael Arroyo is the counterpart to Ferguson, and he might be the better candidate to replace DK, but he also might post the better forty time at the combine and be drafted earlier.
Ferguson is 6’5″/255lbs and his season included 43 receptions for 591 yards and 3 TD. The key to Ferguson is his ability after the catch.
#4.105 – CB, California, Nohl Williams
For whatever reason this year, I haven’t been looking closely at the corner class. When I started correcting that omission recently; I almost instantly fell for Nohl Williams. He’s a 6’1″/200lb corner who posted 7 INT and 9 PBU. When I crack open the tape; I thought his press technique was immaculate. His footwork is very good, and I think the long-speed might be REALLY good.
#4.112 – OT, UConn, Chase Lundt
Here, we find our third of the duos. In what is overall a very cool class for right tackles; I’d like to see Seattle draft one of Lundt or Ozzy Trapilo. In a practical sense, this guy can replace the free agent Stone Forsythe, but really we’re trying to find an eventual replacement for Abraham Lucas. Just in case.
Lundt is the better rush blocker, and Trapilo is the better pass blocker. I’m going with the run-blocker until we have a larger sample size on what Macdonald likes.
#4.121 – DT, Ole Miss, JJ Pegues
Going back to the DL, I think we need a big time run-stuffer, and there are a number of big body guys we could look at. The thing is…I’m not sold that Macdonald wants to use a true nose tackle…like somebody that weighs over 330lbs. I think he wants to disguise defensive play call by using players with versatility. Everybody on the team needs to be able to play both run and pass so that teams can’t audible out of play calls, or if they do they’re audibling to something we can also still defend.
With Pegues, we get a bit more heft from his 6’2″/323lb build. I believe those measurements went official yesterday at the Shrine game weigh-in. Oh, and 33″+ arms. So more heft from Pegues, and more versatility. Pegues can also give you DE snaps (see below). And he’s lowkey electric as a running back in goalline or short-yardage situations.
This year, JJ had 13.5 TFL, 3.5 sacks, 5 hurries, and 7 rushing TD. And just a great dude.
#4.136 – QB, Louisville, Tyler Shough
It’s been one of my greatest frustrations the last few years that John Schneider passes on drafting a QB anytime in the 3rd-6th rounds. They could have had Sam Howell at 5th round cost, instead of what became a 3rd round price in trade. They could have drafted Joe Milton directly instead of DJ James, who never even made it out of training camp.
Shough is a 6’5″/225lb, 6th-year senior, who will likely be available later in the draft than his tape suggests because of his age. I think the age thing on draft QB’s is incorrectly considered. I think some maturity in a QB is actually helpful.
In terms of production, Shough had 3195 yards, 23 TD, 6 INT, 62.7% completion, and a 148.15 passer rating.
Give me a QB competition between Joe Milton and Tyler Shough and I’ll love the upside of the 2025 Seahawk offense.
#5.172 – OL, Jacksonville State, Clay Webb
I’ve been saying for weeks that this is a very good OL class…but not at center. I like Florida’s Jake Slaughter quite a bit as an OL intellectual. As part of my due diligence, I was ticking off some of the Senior Bowl players that I was not familiar with.
Coming from Jacksonville State, I definitely had not looked at Webb. One of the first things I found was that he actually was originally committed to Georgia as a center. At Jacksonville State, Webb was playing left guard, and interestingly he does it with no gloves. This guy is old school. Oh, and his measurements are 6’3″/310lbs.
#6.186 – LB, South Carolina, Demetrius Knight
Linebacker is an interesting conversation in this draft. There aren’t many strong candidates. You either draft one before the end of the 3rd round, or you push hard into the late rounds and hope Ernest Young re-signs.
For the longest time, I was trying to force the former method. Only in the last few days did I come to terms with doing the latter. And I’m kinda digging it. I had been stashing Knight in my back pocket as a guy I wanted to make the back half of a LB double-dip.
I actually love Knight in the 6th more than I did Carson Schwesinger in the 3rd. At 6’2″/245lbs, Knight is already a throwback to an era of linebacker from 10-15 years ago when they were this big. I watch Knight’s tape and I think his size plays. The dude has more stopping power than most of this group. And his speed/athleticism is really underrated.
#6.211 – WR, Kansas, Quentin Skinner
It’s a very good testament to the depth of WR this year (and most years) that I have, like, 5-6 names I want to draft here. And I’m still considering taking two WR in consecutive picks.
I’m going with Skinner for checking the most boxes. He’s 6’5″/195lbs and has really good body control. He only had 25 catches this year, but they went for 557 yards (a very high 22.28 ypc). He had only 4 TD, but if you look at his efficiency stats…16% of his catches went for TD, and a ridiculous 52% of them were explosive catches. I think there’s more to be found in there.
On tape, I found myself noting time and time again how wide open he was. You rarely see that anymore. But he also can win contested. He’s a very well-rounded WR, and he can play special teams gunner.
#7.235 – RB, Michigan, Kalel Mullings
I think it’s important draft strategy to take guys from the position groups that are strong in a given year. Everyone knows this is a good RB class. But, for me, that also meant I ended up pushing RB further and further down my board.
Mullings is listed 6’2″/233lbs and rushed for 948 yards, 5.12 YPC, and 12 TD this year.
Some names that I just couldn’t find room for, but liked:
At WR, I really like Kam Chancellor’s nephew, Keandre Lambert Smith. Not a huge body, but he’s great winning in the air contested. He had a ton of explosive plays, and some very intriguing analytics.
Dont’e Thornton is another WR that I’ve got pinned. He’s a huge body guy and he should blow up the combine. He might be the most 1-for-1 replacement for DK…but that includes the fact that his hands are a little sketchy. DK had that, too, and god bless him, he’s improved that as a pro.
The third WR I’ve got in mind is Pat Bryant from Illinois. Again, he’s got REALLY interesting analytics. And I like Ja’corey Brooks and Andrew Armstrong…two very productive guys this year…at the right price.
Mullings was kind of a throw in as my RB pick. I like some other guys more, but just didn’t feel like we needed to push that pick. I love Kaleb Johnson and Omarion Hampton, but can Seattle really be spending another 2nd round pick on a RB? I think DJ Giddens is potentially the best value RB when we look back at this draft in 5 years. I just wish he was a bit thicker. And Damien Martinez had some great analytics from his 2024 season that popped in my research.
I like QB Jaxson Dart better than most of this class, and if we’re not getting Joe Milton back; maybe I make a move on Dart (and still draft Shough late). The buzz on Dart is really starting to pick up, so we’re probably using a 1st rounder to get him, and we might need to use the #18.
Some OL guys that popped in my analytic look at OL included Florida’s OT Brandon Crenshaw and Georgia OC Jared Wilson. These feel like Seahawk picks, too.
I haven’t given him a full tape-study, but TE Jalin Conyers popped in my analytic study. So he may be the third TE behind Arroyo and Ferguson for mid-rounds.
At DE, I had LSU edge Bradyn Swinson in my rough draft for this mock. Good production, some very good intangibles, and he had some numbers pop in the analytics study for DE projectability.
Up next…Senior Bowl weigh-in, practice, and game. Then Combine. Then we try to steal info on Seahawk 30 visit names. Then we draft in April.